Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.008382 0.009410 0.010535 0.011863 0.013392 0.015101 0.017165
2025-05-11 0.006793 0.008184 0.009839 0.011971 0.014664 0.017984 0.022431
2025-05-18 0.005820 0.007337 0.009244 0.011845 0.015348 0.019967 0.026631
2025-05-25 0.005219 0.006825 0.008933 0.011950 0.016234 0.022219 0.031428
2025-06-01 0.004689 0.006319 0.008538 0.011844 0.016756 0.023966 0.035710
2025-06-08 0.004171 0.005763 0.007997 0.011438 0.016751 0.024893 0.038826
2025-06-15 0.003867 0.005471 0.007789 0.011478 0.017391 0.026846 0.043856
2025-06-22 0.003707 0.005369 0.007839 0.011901 0.018664 0.029956 0.051347
2025-06-29 0.003413 0.005036 0.007504 0.011672 0.018829 0.031211 0.055702
2025-07-06 0.003150 0.004726 0.007175 0.011411 0.018896 0.032285 0.059867
2025-07-13 0.002966 0.004527 0.007001 0.011386 0.019363 0.034127 0.065851
2025-07-20 0.002870 0.004457 0.007030 0.011709 0.020487 0.037342 0.075268
2025-07-27 0.002705 0.004271 0.006864 0.011696 0.021036 0.039621 0.083384
2025-08-03 0.002570 0.004128 0.006760 0.011789 0.021813 0.042511 0.093635
2025-08-10 0.002416 0.003936 0.006554 0.011666 0.022135 0.044481 0.102111
2025-08-17 0.002310 0.003821 0.006472 0.011769 0.022932 0.047610 0.114282
2025-08-24 0.002184 0.003660 0.006294 0.011665 0.023271 0.049751 0.124369
2025-08-31 0.002030 0.003439 0.005986 0.011267 0.022917 0.050199 0.129836
2025-09-07 0.001945 0.003337 0.005895 0.011305 0.023545 0.053138 0.143372
2025-09-14 0.001912 0.003329 0.005981 0.011721 0.025096 0.058671 0.166528
2025-09-21 0.001807 0.003178 0.005778 0.011496 0.025097 0.060161 0.177083
2025-09-28 0.001707 0.003030 0.005570 0.011240 0.024992 0.061347 0.186990
2025-10-05 0.001638 0.002939 0.005470 0.011216 0.025462 0.064221 0.203811